Home Platform Climate Risk & Emissions Optimisation
01 Measure
02 Report
03a Climate Risk
03b Optimisation
04a Financial
04b Supplier
04c Impact
04d Sust. Finance
Platform — 03 Reduce

Climate Risk & Emissions Optimisation

Know your climate risk.
Build your path to net‑zero.

SYNE Reduce quantifies your physical and transition climate risks under IPCC and IEA scenarios, models emissions reduction pathways across every lever in your value chain, and tracks your progress to science-based targets in real time.

2°C
Scenario pathways
modelled (1.5°C, 2°C, 4°C)
400+
Abatement levers
in our reduction library
98
Countries with
physical risk data
SBTi
Validated target-setting
methodology built in
SYNE Reduce — Climate Risk & Pathway Live
1.5°C — SBTi ✓ 2°C 4°C BAU
Reduction vs 1.5°C pathway
Scope 1 — Direct
62%
Scope 2 — Energy
88%
Scope 3 — Value chain
28%
Top climate risk exposure
Flood risk — APAC facilitiesHigh
Carbon price exposure — EU opsMed
Water stress — manufacturingMed
Policy / regulation riskLow
Net-zero year
2040
Abatement gap
12kt
Value at risk
$4.2M
Platform Capabilities

Everything you need to act on climate

From quantifying climate-related financial impacts to building and executing a credible decarbonisation roadmap — SYNE Reduce connects risk, strategy and action in a single platform.

Risk
Physical Climate Risk
Asset-level physical risk screening across 8 hazards — flood, heat, water stress, wildfire, tropical cyclone, sea-level rise, permafrost and cold wave — under RCP 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios for 2030, 2050 and 2100 time horizons.
Risk
Transition Risk Analysis
Model financial exposure to policy, regulatory, market and technology transition risks under IEA NZE, APS and STEPS scenarios — with carbon price forecasts, stranded asset identification and regulatory timeline tracking.
Pathway
Emissions Reduction Pathways
Build science-aligned decarbonisation roadmaps with 400+ abatement levers across energy, manufacturing, transport, buildings and supply chain. Model costs, savings and implementation timelines for every intervention.
Targets
SBTi Target Setting
Set and validate science-based targets for near-term and long-term (net-zero) using SBTi approved methods — Absolute Contraction Approach, Sectoral Decarbonisation Approach and SBTi FLAG methodology for land-use sectors.
Strategy
TCFD Scenario Analysis
Structured TCFD-aligned scenario analysis with qualitative and quantitative assessment of climate risks and opportunities. Pre-built scenario narratives for 1.5°C, 2°C and 4°C worlds, with sector-specific financial impact modelling.
AI
SYNE AI Reduction Intelligence
SYNE AI analyses your emissions profile and automatically surfaces the highest-impact reduction opportunities ranked by cost-effectiveness, implementation speed and emissions impact — with peer benchmarks and supplier engagement recommendations.
Climate Risk Assessment

Quantify what climate change means for your business — financially

TCFD requires companies to disclose material climate risks. SYNE goes further — translating physical and transition risk exposures into the financial language boards, investors and insurers actually need.

Physical Climate Risk

Asset-level exposure across 8 climate hazards, 98 countries

Physical climate risks — from flooding and extreme heat to water stress and wildfires — are already affecting asset values, operational costs and insurance premiums. SYNE maps every facility, site and asset against high-resolution climate hazard data under three IPCC warming scenarios, quantifying financial impact across three time horizons.

  • Chronic hazards: sea-level rise, water stress, heat stress, shifting precipitation patterns — assessed at 1km resolution
  • Acute hazards: coastal and riverine flood, tropical cyclone, wildfire, extreme cold — with return-period modelling
  • Financial impact quantification: asset impairment, operational disruption cost, revenue-at-risk and insurance gap
  • Portfolio-level aggregation for investors and lenders — TCFD physical risk disclosures auto-generated
  • Climate-adjusted insurance benchmarking against current coverage levels
Explore physical risk module
Physical Risk — Asset Portfolio (2050, RCP 4.5)
Assets at High Risk
12/48
↑ 5 since 2030
Value at Risk
$4.2M
Annualised
Top hazard exposures — 2050
Riverine flood — APAC
High
Water stress — MENA
Med
Extreme heat — EU South
Med
Sea-level rise — coastal
Low
Adaptation investments modelled: 3 options, est. risk reduction 62%
Transition Risk Analysis

Model the financial cost of the low-carbon transition before it hits your P&L

As carbon pricing, policy tightening and market shifts accelerate, the cost of failing to transition is rising faster than the cost of acting. SYNE models your exposure to transition risks across four categories — policy, technology, market and reputation — and translates them into financial impact scenarios your CFO can act on.

  • Carbon price exposure: forward-looking carbon cost modelling under IEA NZE, APS and STEPS — mapped to your Scope 1 and 2 emissions by jurisdiction
  • Stranded asset risk: identify assets at risk of early retirement or write-down under each scenario and time horizon
  • Technology transition: assess capex requirements to maintain competitiveness as low-carbon alternatives become cost-competitive
  • Market & supply chain: customer preferences, raw material price volatility and supplier transition risk under each scenario
  • Financial impact summary: EBITDA-at-risk, capex requirements and scenario-adjusted valuations
Explore transition risk module
Transition Risk — IEA NZE vs BAU (2030)
Carbon cost (NZE)
$6.8M
@ $120/tCO₂e
Stranded asset risk
$12M
3 assets flagged
EBITDA impact by scenario
NZE (1.5°C) — Act now
‑3%
APS (2°C) — Moderate
‑7%
STEPS (4°C) — BAU
‑18%
Gas-fired plant (Site 4) at stranded asset risk by 2031 under NZE — early retirement modelled
Scenario Analysis

How SYNE models your climate future

TCFD-aligned scenario analysis used to be a six-month consulting exercise. SYNE makes it a live capability — with pre-built scenarios, asset-level data and financial translation built in from the start.

TCFD-Aligned Process

From scenario selection to board-ready narrative — in days

SYNE provides a structured, guided workflow for completing a TCFD-aligned climate scenario analysis — covering governance, strategy, risk management and metrics. Each step auto-populates disclosure-ready content as you work through it, so the output is a report, not just a spreadsheet.

  • Pre-built IEA (NZE, APS, STEPS) and IPCC (RCP 2.6, 4.5, 8.5) scenario narratives — no custom modelling required to start
  • Guided materiality assessment identifying which risks are financially material for your sector and geography
  • Qualitative risk register with severity, likelihood and time-horizon tagging, linked to financial impact estimates
  • TCFD disclosure text auto-generated from your completed analysis, reviewed and edited before publication
See TCFD workflow
TCFD Scenario Analysis — Progress
Workflow completion
01 — Governance & oversightDone ✓
02 — Scenario selectionDone ✓
03 — Materiality assessmentDone ✓
04 — Financial impact modellingIn progress
05 — Strategy & resilience reviewPending
06 — Disclosure narrativePending
Completion
58%
Est. completion
14 days
Financial Translation

Turn climate risk into numbers your CFO can act on

The most credible climate risk analyses connect physical and transition hazards to financial statements. SYNE's financial impact engine translates each identified risk into revenue impact, cost exposure, capital requirements and valuation effects — ready for integration into financial planning and investor communication.

  • Revenue-at-risk from physical disruptions (asset downtime, supply chain disruption, market access loss)
  • Opex impacts: energy cost trajectories, carbon tax liability, adaptation and resilience capex requirements
  • Loan-level and portfolio-level financial impact for banks and asset managers under NGFS scenarios
  • Climate-adjusted asset valuations and impairment triggers for IFRS / US GAAP disclosure
See financial impact modelling
Financial Impact — 2030 / 2050 Summary
P&L impact — NZE scenario (1.5°C)
‑$2.1M
Revenue (2030)
+$4.8M
Opex (2030)
+$18M
Capex (2035)
Revenue at risk by hazard
Supply chain disruption
58%
Asset downtime (flood)
28%
Market access loss
14%
Acting now reduces total financial exposure by $18.4M vs BAU by 2035
Nature & Biodiversity Risk

Extend beyond climate — assess your nature-related risks with TNFD LEAP

Nature-related risks are emerging as the next frontier after climate. SYNE supports the TNFD LEAP assessment framework — helping companies locate nature-related dependencies and impacts, evaluate exposures and assess financial materiality before regulators require it.

  • TNFD LEAP (Locate, Evaluate, Assess, Prepare) guided workflow aligned to TNFD v1.0
  • Biodiversity hotspot mapping: overlay your asset footprint against IBAT, IUCN Red List habitats and KBA data
  • Ecosystem services dependency screening: water regulation, pollination, soil quality, carbon sequestration
  • Nature scenario analysis aligned to IPBES and TNFD nature scenarios (nature-positive vs nature-negative pathways)
Explore TNFD module
TNFD LEAP — Nature Risk Screening
Sites screened
48/48
100% coverage
High sensitivity
6
sites flagged
Ecosystem service dependencies
Freshwater regulation — criticalHigh
Pollination — agriculture inputsMedium
Carbon sequestration — landLow
TNFD recommended disclosures: 4 material topics identified
Reduction Pathways

A complete roadmap from baseline to net-zero

SYNE Reduce structures your decarbonisation journey into four phases — giving every stakeholder a clear view of what needs to happen, when, at what cost and who is accountable.

1
Diagnose
Understand your baseline and hotspots
Map your full emissions footprint (Scope 1, 2, 3) at site, BU and product level. Identify your top 10 emission sources and quantify their reduction potential before committing to any action.
Hotspot analysis Benchmark vs peers Marginal abatement
2
Target
Set science-based targets aligned to 1.5°C
Use SBTi-approved methodologies to set validated near-term (2030) and net-zero (2040–2050) targets. SYNE calculates your required reduction trajectory and flags whether your proposed target qualifies under SBTi criteria.
SBTi validation ACA / SDA methods FLAG guidance
3
Plan
Build your decarbonisation roadmap
Select from 400+ abatement levers across energy efficiency, renewable energy, electrification, process optimisation, materials substitution and supply chain engagement. Model costs, savings and timelines for each initiative.
400+ levers Cost modelling NPV & IRR
4
Execute & Track
Track progress and course-correct in real time
Monitor initiative delivery against planned milestones, track emissions reductions realised vs forecast, and get early warnings when you're off-track — so you can course-correct before missing a target deadline.
Live tracking Early warnings Board reporting
Science-Based Targets

Set, validate and track targets investors trust

Science-based targets are increasingly a baseline expectation from investors, customers and regulators. SYNE makes setting and maintaining them straightforward — from methodology selection to SBTi submission and ongoing progress tracking.

Methodology
SBTi-Approved Methods Built In
Absolute Contraction Approach (ACA), Sectoral Decarbonisation Approach (SDA) for power, steel, cement, transport and buildings, and FLAG methodology for forestry, land and agriculture — all pre-configured and regularly updated as SBTi guidance evolves.
Near-term & Net-zero
Dual-target framework for 2030 and 2050
Set near-term targets (5–10 year horizon) aligned to 1.5°C and long-term net-zero targets no later than 2050 — with automatic calculation of required annual reduction rates and milestone tracking at the halfway mark.
Validation
SBTi submission support and pre-validation
SYNE runs a pre-validation check against current SBTi criteria before you submit — flagging any issues, missing data or methodology errors. The submission package is pre-populated with required documentation, reducing the typical 3–6 month validation timeline.
Abatement Levers

400+ reduction levers, ranked by your highest-impact opportunities

Every business has a different abatement opportunity set. SYNE analyses your unique emissions profile and ranks the levers available to you by cost-effectiveness, implementation time and total reduction potential.

Ranked by emissions impact for your profile — click to explore
1
Switch to renewable electricity (PPAs)
Energy · Scope 2
‑88%
Scope 2
2
Supplier engagement programme
Supply chain · Scope 3 Cat 1
‑62%
Scope 3
3
Fleet electrification
Transport · Scope 1
‑54%
Scope 1
4
Building energy efficiency upgrades
Buildings · Scope 1 & 2
‑38%
Scope 1+2
5
Materials substitution — low-carbon inputs
Manufacturing · Scope 3 Cat 1
‑28%
Scope 3
Lever Detail — Renewable Electricity
Integrations

Connects to your energy, operations and finance data

SYNE Reduce pulls live operational data from your energy management systems, IoT sensors, ERP and procurement platforms — so your reduction tracking is always current, not a quarterly manual exercise.

Schneider EcoStruxure
SAP Energy Management
Siemens Navigator
Envizi (IBM)
Grid carbon intensity APIs
Oracle Fusion ERP
Utility meter APIs
REST API
+ more →
"

SYNE gave us our first credible net-zero roadmap — not just a target on a slide, but a lever-by-lever plan with costs, timelines and owners. We submitted our SBTi targets six months after onboarding. I didn't think that was possible before we started.

AJ
Amara Johansson
Group VP Sustainability, Nordic Industrial Group
FAQ

Questions about SYNE Reduce

Everything you need to know about climate risk quantification and emissions reduction planning. Our team is happy to walk you through a live scenario analysis demo.

Talk to an expert
SYNE Reduce includes pre-built physical risk scenarios based on IPCC RCP 2.6 (low emissions, ~1.5–2°C), RCP 4.5 (intermediate, ~2–3°C) and RCP 8.5 (high emissions, ~4°C) pathways, covering 2030, 2050 and 2100 time horizons. For transition risk, we use IEA's Net Zero Emissions (NZE), Announced Pledges Scenario (APS) and Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS). For portfolio-level financial institution analysis, SYNE also supports NGFS scenarios (Net Zero 2050, Delayed Transition, Current Policies). All scenarios are kept updated as IPCC, IEA and NGFS publish revised guidance.
SYNE's financial impact engine translates each identified climate risk into measurable financial terms using a combination of: (1) asset-level physical hazard data linked to damage functions and business interruption models; (2) carbon price forward curves by jurisdiction for transition risk; (3) sector-specific cost and revenue impact parameters calibrated to industry data. The outputs include asset impairment estimates, EBITDA-at-risk ranges, capex requirements and climate-adjusted valuations — expressed with confidence intervals across scenarios. All assumptions and input parameters are documented and auditable, so your finance team and external auditors can review the methodology.
SYNE supports the full SBTi process — from initial method selection through to submission documentation. The platform calculates your required reduction trajectory under each SBTi-approved methodology (ACA for cross-sector, SDA for sector-specific, FLAG for land-use), runs a pre-validation check against current SBTi criteria, and generates the submission documentation package. For companies in the SBTi validation queue, SYNE's target tracking module monitors actual emissions against the committed pathway and produces progress reports in the format required for SBTi annual check-ins. We also monitor SBTi criteria updates and alert customers when their approved targets need to be reviewed in light of updated guidance.
SYNE's physical risk data is sourced from best-in-class climate science providers including climate model ensembles from CMIP6 (the latest generation of global climate models) and peer-reviewed hazard databases. Resolution varies by hazard: flood data is available at 30m resolution in most regions; heat and water stress at 1km resolution; sea-level rise at 10km resolution. Assets are geocoded to their precise latitude and longitude before screening. For high-risk assets, users can supplement platform data with site-specific assessments from our professional services team or integrate higher-resolution third-party datasets via API. All underlying data sources and model versions are disclosed in the platform for transparency.
SYNE's abatement lever library covers interventions across six sectors: Energy (renewable procurement, on-site solar/wind, storage, demand reduction, smart building controls), Transport (fleet electrification, logistics optimisation, modal shift, sustainable aviation fuel), Manufacturing (process electrification, heat recovery, fuel switching, industrial CCS), Supply chain (supplier engagement, materials substitution, circular economy, packaging reduction), Land use (nature-based solutions, sustainable agriculture, afforestation), and Residual offsets (high-quality carbon credits for hard-to-abate emissions). Each lever includes sector-specific cost curves, implementation timelines, technology readiness levels and emissions reduction potential calibrated to your baseline. SYNE AI ranks them by the abatement cost and total impact specific to your portfolio.
Yes. SYNE Reduce includes a dedicated financial institution module supporting NGFS scenario analysis for banks, insurers and asset managers. The module supports the four core NGFS scenarios (Net Zero 2050, Below 2°C, Delayed Transition, Current Policies) and enables loan-level and portfolio-level climate risk assessment, including: physical risk screening for collateral and insured assets; transition risk modelling for corporate and sovereign exposures; portfolio temperature alignment using PACTA methodology; and climate stress testing aligned to ECB, Bank of England and APRA supervisory expectations. Outputs feed directly into TCFD disclosures, supervisory reporting templates and CSRD/ESRS financial institution standards.
SYNE applies the SBTi-recommended hierarchy: first prioritise abatement across the value chain before using offsets for residual emissions. Within the platform, residual emissions (typically hard-to-abate categories like process emissions or long-haul aviation) are clearly identified after all feasible abatement has been modelled. For these residuals, SYNE integrates with SYNE Carbon for access to high-quality voluntary carbon market credits (Verra VCS, Gold Standard, ACR) and removes (BECCS, DACCS, biochar) that meet the permanence and additionality standards required under SBTi's Net-Zero Standard. All credit purchases are logged against the specific residual emission they retire, with full audit trail and additionality verification.
SYNE is a unified platform — Reduce draws directly from the verified emissions data and ESG KPIs collected in Measure, so your reduction baseline is always based on audited figures rather than estimates. When you set SBTi targets or complete a TCFD scenario analysis in Reduce, that data feeds automatically into Report — populating your CSRD E1 climate strategy disclosures, TCFD report sections and CDP climate questionnaire responses without duplication. Progress against your net-zero pathway also populates the relevant ESRS disclosures (E1-4 for targets, E1-5 for resource use and E1-6 for GHG emissions) as actuals are recorded in Measure each period.

Ready to build your path to net-zero?

Join 1,200+ organisations using SYNE to quantify climate risk, model their decarbonisation roadmap and track progress to science-based targets. Book a demo and we'll run a live scenario analysis on your own data.